Showing posts with label politics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label politics. Show all posts

Details of Joyce Mujuru Secret Meeting with US Ambassador Charles Ray









             In an informal and introductory meeting, which circumvented Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA) protocol, the Ambassador and Vice President Joice Mujuru discussed sanctions, the Global Political Agreement (GPA), and ZANU-PF.
Mujuru hewed to the party line on sanctions, claiming that sanctions on institutions were hurting ordinary Zimbabweans. The Ambassador responded that the U.S. was looking for progress on the GPA as a predicate to lifting these sanctions. On the GPA, Mujuru maintained that ZANU-PF had made significant concessions; the most critical outstanding issue was sanctions. Without separating herself from President Robert Mugabe, Mujuru said that new and younger leadership was entering ZANU-PF and the party would gradually evolve. The meeting was friendly and, at a minimum, opened up a channel of communication. END SUMMARY.
2. ZANU-PF government officials normally will not meet with us unless a request is sent out to the MFA. The MFA then schedules the meeting and sends a note taker. Through a Mujuru advisor, David Butau, we requested an informal meeting to better establish a relationship and facilitate an exchange of views. Three days after the conclusion of the ZANU-PF Congress, Mujuru agreed to a meeting, but it was only at the last minute that logistics were arranged. Mujuru, who is acting president while Mugabe is in Copenhagen for the United Nations Climate Change Conference, wanted to ensure that the meeting with the U.S. ambassador was private and undisclosed.
3. The meeting took place in an unoccupied house owned by Mujuru on the outskirts of Harare. The affluent and powerful are not immune from frequent Harare power cuts, and the neighborhood was dark. While the house had electricity, irregular power had shorted most of the lights. A Mujuru employee who led us through darkened grounds to an unfurnished living room (except for chairs and a plasma television) where Mujuru and Butau were waiting already. The Vice President had managed to shed all of her (presumably CIO-infiltrated) security. She herself poured tea. The meeting was friendly and respectful; at the end, Mujuru said she would like to meet again and continue the conversation.
4. Not surprisingly, Mujuru began the discussion with sanctions. She argued that while she and others were targets, they were not hurt. Rather, ordinary Zimbabweans were suffering because of sanctions on institutions such as ZB Bank and Agribank, which had historically provided loans to small businesspersons and farmers. Now, because of sanctions, they were illiquid and could not lend. The Ambassador acknowledged that sanctions were an emotional and pervasive issue. There might be willingness in Washington to look at non-personal sanctions, but this was not a one-sided process. With progress on GPA issues, the U.S. would consider responding. How did she see progress, the Ambassador asked?
5. Mujuru stated that the most critical GPA issue was Q5. Mujuru stated that the most critical GPA issue was sanctions. ZANU-PF thought that by signing the GPA and agreeing to a government with the MDC it had given more than the MDC. The MDC had made a number of unhelpful “pronouncements.” At various times, according to Mujuru, it had urged Zimbabwe’s neighbors to withhold electricity and fuel. It had asked western countries to maintain personal sanctions. ZANU-PF officials, according to Mujuru, were becoming “unsettled” and wanted to see MDC movement on sanctions. (COMMENT: The Ambassador noted that the MDC could not remove sanctions — this was up to western governments — and Mujuru did not dispute this. But she wanted the MDC to cease its “pronouncements.” We expect an announcement on December 21 by the GPA principals on GPA issues that have been resolved, probably commissions and the appointment of governors, and it would not be surprising for Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai at that time to suggest that at least some non-personal sanctions be removed.
6. Mujuru continued that there was a distinction between politics and government. While efforts were on going to resolve political differences, the government was making progress. A bill to limit the powers of the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe’s governor was close to passage, and Zimbabwe had just signed a bilateral investment treaty with South Africa. She pleaded for U.S. help to restore Zimbabwe’s economy.
7. After commenting that the U.S. was providing substantial assistance (food and medical) to the people of Zimbabwe, the Ambassador replied that, sanctions or no sanctions, Zimbabwe could begin to regrow its economy. This would require restoring external and internal confidence — investors needed to know there was security of contracts and no excessive government interference in the economy. In other words, businesses would accept economic risk, but it was necessary to remove political risk.
8. Turning to politics, Mujuru said the ZANU-PF old guard was giving way to “young blood.” She noted that she (55 years old) and new Party Chair Simon Khaya Moyo (64 years old) are on the younger side and form one-half of the ZANU-PF presidium (along with Mugabe and new vice president John Nkomo). The presidium would be together for five years. Mujuru concluded, “Let’s work together.”
9. While Mujuru is inculcated with ZANU-PF ideology, evidenced by her views on sanctions, she and her husband, General Solomon Mujuru, are business people who understand that a friendlier and more stable business environment requires political change. She also would like better relations with the U.S., which she views as essential for Zimbabwe’s economic growth. This no doubt motivated her desire for a non-official meeting with the Ambassador immediately after the ZANU-PF Congress. The fact that she was impelled to have a clandestine meeting is reflective of the power of Mugabe and hard-liners and the fear they engender. It also shows the weakness of the party, in that it will not tolerate its second highest-ranking official having a private meeting with the U.S. ambassador. (Tsvangirai had no qualms about informally and openly meeting the Ambassador. Ref A.)
10. Because of her gender, Mujuru is an unlikely successor to Mugabe (Ref B). But she occupies a prominent position in ZANU-PF and will likely be part of the power structure after Mugabe. We know from other sources that she and her husband would like to see Mugabe move on. She was cautious in her first meeting with the Ambassador, but we will pursue the relationship both to gain insights into ZANU-PF and to encourage reform efforts. ENDS

The Truth About the Situation in Libya


Cutting through the government propaganda and media lies


By Brian Becker, National Coordinator, ANSWER Coalition
Libya is a small country of just over 6 million people but it possesses the largest oil reserves in all of Africa. The oil produced there is especially coveted because of its particularly high quality.
The Air Force of the United States along with Britain and France has carried out 7,459 bombing attacks since March 19. Britain, France and the United States sent special operation ground forces and commando units to direct the military operations of the so-called rebel fighters – it is a NATO- led army in the field.

The troops may be disaffected Libyans but the operation is under the control and direction of NATO commanders and western commando units who serve as “advisors.” Their new weapons and billions in funds come from the U.S. and other NATO powers that froze and seized Libya’s assets in Western banks. Their only military successes outside of Benghazi, in the far east of the country, have been exclusively based on the coordinated air and ground operations of the imperialist NATO military forces.
In military terms, Libya’s resistance to NATO is of David and Goliath proportions. U.S. military spending alone is more than ten times greater than Libya’s entire annual Gross Domestic Product (GDP) which was $74.2 billion in 2010, according to the CIA’s World Fact Book.
In recent weeks, the NATO military operations used surveillance-collecting drones, satellites, mounting aerial attacks and covert commando units to decapitate Libya’s military and political leadership and its command and control capabilities. Global economic sanctions meant that the country was suddenly deprived of income and secure access to goods and services needed to sustain a civilian economy over a long period.
“The cumulative effect [of NATO’s coordinated air and ground operation] not only destroyed Libya’s military infrastructure but also greatly diminished Colonel Gaddafi’s commanders to control forces, leaving even committed fighting units unable to move, resupply or coordinate operations,“ reports the New York Times in a celebratory article on August 22.
A False Pretext
The United States, United Kingdom, France, and Italy targeted the Libyan government for overthrow or “regime change” not because these governments were worried about protecting civilians or to bring about a more democratic form of governance in Libya.
If that were the real motivation of the NATO powers, they could start the bombing of Saudi Arabia right away. There are no elections in Saudi Arabia. The monarchy does not even allow women to drive cars. By law, women must be fully covered in public or they will go to prison. Protests are rare in Saudi Arabia because any dissent is met with imprisonment, torture and execution.
The Saudi monarchy is protected by U.S. imperialism because it is part of an undeclared but real U.S. sphere of influence and it is the largest producer of oil in the world. The U.S. attitude toward the Saudi monarchy was put succinctly by Ronald Reagan in 1981, when he said that the U.S. government “will not permit” revolution in Saudi Arabia such as the 1979 Iranian revolution that removed the U.S. client regime of the Shah. Reagan’s message was clear: the Pentagon and CIA’s military forces would be used decisively to destroy any democratic movement against the rule of the Saudi royal family.
Reagan’s explicit statement in 1981 has in fact been the policy of every successive U.S. administration, including the current one.
Libya and Imperialism
Libya, unlike Saudi Arabia, did have a revolution against its monarchy. As a result of the 1969 revolution led by Muammar Gaddafi, Libya was no longer in the sphere of influence of any imperialist country.
Libya had once been an impoverished colony of Italy living under the boot heel of the fascist Mussolini. After the Allied victory in World War II, control of the country was formally transferred to the United Nations and Libya became independent in 1951 with authority vested in the monarch King Idris.
But in actuality, Libya was controlled by the United States and Britain until the 1969 revolution.
One of the first acts of the 1969 revolution was to eliminate the vestiges of colonialism and foreign control. Not only were oil fields nationalized but Gaddafi eliminated foreign military bases inside the country.
In March of 1970, the Gaddafi government shut down two important British military bases in Tobruk and El Adem. He then became the Pentagon’s enemy when he evicted the U.S. Wheelus Air Force Base near Tripoli that had been operated by the United States since 1945. Before the British military took control in 1943, the facility was a base operated by the Italians under Mussolini.

Wheelus had been an important Strategic Air Command (SAC) base during the Cold War, housing B-52 bombers and other front-line Pentagon aircrafts that targeted the Soviet Union.
Once under Libyan control, the Gaddafi government allowed Soviet military planes to access the airfield.
In 1986, the Pentagon heavily bombed the base at the same time it bombed downtown Tripoli in an effort to assassinate Gaddafi. That effort failed but his 2-year-old daughter died along with scores of other civilians.
The Character of the Gaddafi Regime


The political, social and class orientation of the Libyan regime has gone through several stages in the last four decades. The government and ruling establishment reflected contradictory class, social, religious and regional antagonisms. The fact that the leadership of the NATO-led National Transition Council is comprised of top officials of the Gaddafi government, who broke with the regime and allied themselves with NATO, is emblematic of the decades-long instability within the Libyan establishment.
These inherent contradictions were exacerbated by pressures applied to Libya from the outside. The U.S. imposed far-reaching economic sanctions on Libya in the 1980s. The largest western corporations were barred from doing business with Libya and the country was denied access to credit from western banks.
In its foreign policy, Libya gave significant financial and military support to national liberation struggles, including in Palestine, Southern Africa, Ireland and elsewhere.
Because of Libya's economic policies, living standards for the population had jumped dramatically after 1969. Having a small population and substantial income from its oil production, augmented with the Gaddafi regime’s far-reaching policy of social benefits, created a huge advance in the social and economic status for the population. Libya was still a class society with rich and poor, and gaps between urban and rural living standards, but illiteracy was basically wiped out, while education and health care were free and extensively accessible. By 2010, the per capita income in Libya was near the highest in Africa at $14,000 and life expectancy rose to over 77 years, according to the CIA’s World Fact Book.
Gaddafi’s political orientation explicitly rejected communism and capitalism. He created an ideology called the “Third International Theory,” which was an eclectic mix of Islamic, Arab nationalist and socialist ideas and programs. In 1977, Libya was renamed the Great Socialist People’s Libyan Arab Jamahiriya. A great deal of industry, including oil, was nationalized and the government provided an expansive social insurance program or what is called a welfare state policy akin to some features prevalent in the Soviet Union and some West European capitalist countries.
But Libya was not a workers’ state or a “socialist government” to use the popular if not scientific use of the term “socialist.” The revolution was not a workers and peasant rebellion against the capitalist class per se. Libya remained a class society although class differentiation may have been somewhat obscured beneath the existence of revolutionary committees and the radical, populist rhetoric that emanated from the regime.
As in many developing, formerly colonized countries, state ownership of property was not “socialist” but rather a necessary fortification of an under-developed capitalist class. State property in Iraq, Libya and other such post-colonial regimes was designed to facilitate the social and economic growth of a new capitalist ruling class that was initially too weak, too deprived of capital and too cut off from international credit to compete on its own terms with the dominant sectors of world monopoly capitalism. The nascent capitalist classes in such developing economies promoted state-owned property, under their control, in order to intersect with Western banks and transnational corporations and create more favorable terms for global trade and investment.
The collapse of the Soviet Union and the “socialist bloc” governments of central and Eastern Europe in 1989-91 deprived Libya of an economic and military counter-weight to the United States, and the Libyan government’s domestic economic and foreign policy shifted towards accommodation with the West.
In the 1990s some sectors of the Libyan economic establishment and the Gaddafi-led government favored privatization, cutting back on social programs and subsidies and integration into western European markets.
The earlier populism of the regime incrementally gave way to the adoption of neo-liberal policies. This was, however, a long process.
In 2004, the George W. Bush administration ended sanctions on Libya. Western oil companies and banks and other corporations initiated huge direct investments in Libya and trade with Libyan enterprises.
There was also a growth of unemployment in Libya and in cutbacks in social spending, leading to further inequality between rich and poor and class polarization.
But Gaddafi himself was still considered a thorn in the side of the imperialist powers. They want absolute puppets, not simply partners, in their plans for exploitation. The Wikileaks release of State Department cables between 2007 and 2010 show that the United states and western oil companies were condemning Gaddafi for what they called “resource nationalism.” Gaddafi even threatened to re-nationalize western oil companies’ property unless Libya was granted a larger share of the revenue for their projects.
As an article in today’s New York Times Business section said honestly: “"Colonel Qaddafi proved to be a problematic partner for the international oil companies, frequently raising fees and taxes and making other demands. A new government with close ties to NATO may be an easier partner for Western nations to deal with."
Even the most recent CIA Fact Book publication on Libya, written before the armed revolt championed by NATO, complained of the measured tempo of pro-market reforms in Libya: “Libya faces a long road ahead in liberalizing the socialist-oriented economy, but initial steps— including applying for WTO membership, reducing some subsidies, and announcing plans for privatization—are laying the groundwork for a transition to a more market-based economy.” (CIA World Fact Book)
The beginning of the armed revolt on February 23 by disaffected members of the Libyan military and political establishment provided the opportunity for the U.S. imperialists, in league with their French and British counterparts, to militarily overthrow the Libyan government and replace it with a client or stooge regime.
Of course, in the revolt were workers and young people who had many legitimate grievances against the Libyan government. But what is critical in an armed struggle for state power is not the composition of the rank-and-file soldiers, but the class character and political orientation of the leadership.
Character of the National Transition Council
The National Transitional Council (NTC) constituted itself as the leadership of the uprising in Benghazi, Libya’s second largest city. The central leader is Mustafa Abdel-Jalil, who was Libya’s Minister of Justice until his defection at the start of the uprising. He was one of a significant number of Western-oriented and neoliberal officials from Libya’s government, diplomatic corps and military ranks who joined the opposition in the days immediately after the start of the revolt.
As soon as it was established, the NTC began issuing calls for imperialist intervention. These appeals became increasing panicky as it became clear that, contrary to early predictions that the Gaddafi-led government would collapse in a matter of days, it was the “rebels” who faced imminent defeat in the civil war. In fact, it was only due to the U.S./NATO bombing campaign, initiated with great hurry on March 19 that the rebellion did not collapse.
The last five months of war have erased any doubt about the pro-imperialist character of the NTC. One striking episode took place on April 22, when Senator John McCain made a “surprise” trip to Benghazi. A huge banner was unveiled to greet him with an American flag printed on it and the words: “United States of America – You have a new ally in North Africa.”
Similar to the military relationship between the NATO and Libyan “rebel” armed forces, the NTC is entirely dependent on and subordinated to the U.S., French, British and Italian imperialist governments.
If the Pentagon, CIA, and Wall Street succeed in installing a client regime in Tripoli it will accelerate and embolden the imperialist threats and intervention against other independent governments such as Syria and Venezuela. In each case we will see a similar process unfold, including the demonization of the leadership of the targeted countries so as to silence or mute a militant anti-war response to the aggression of the war-makers.
We in the ANSWER Coalition invite all those who share this perspective to join with us, to mobilize, and to unmask the colonial agenda that hides under the slogan of “humanitarian intervention.”

MDC Morgan Tsvangirai's Secret Letter To President Barak Obama (wikileaks)

Obama Meets With Zimbabwean PM Tsvangirai At White House

E.O. 12958:  N/A 
TAGS: OPDC PREL PGOV OVIP ZI
SUBJECT:  PRIME MINISTER TSVANGIRAI LETTER TO PRESIDENT OBAMA 
 
1.  The following is the text of a message as received from Prime 
Minister Morgan Tsvangirai of Zimbabwe to President Barack Obama of 
the United States of America. 
 
2.  BEGIN TEXT: 
 
REPUBLIC OF ZIMBABWE 
 
The Prime Minister 
 
21 December 2009 
 
His Excellency 
Barrack Obama 
President of the United States of America 
 
Your Excellency, 
 
As we approach the end of 2009, a period that has turned out to be a 
watershed for Zimbabwe, I write to convey my appreciation for the 
support we have received from you personally, the government and 
people of your great nation. Kindly pass on my warm thanks also to 
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. 
 
 
I was very pleased, Mr. President, to note the support offered by 
your country and the various international Non Governmental 
Organisations (NGOs) that expanded beyond the life saving 
interventions which were so important. This assistance has brought 
direct benefits to millions of our people and has demonstrated to 
the hard pressed population that the reformists in government are 
capable of delivering results. 
 
Your support for my office has also been invaluable and I look 
forward to this continuing. 
 
As you are no doubt aware, Your Excellency, we are at a crucial 
stage in our efforts to ensure the full implementation of the GPA. 
Meanwhile, our political situation remains characterised by 
intransigence to frustrate the process of bringing about real 
change. 
 
The role played by SADC, in general, and the mediator President 
Jacob Zuma, in particular, is greatly appreciated. I know that you 
have personally played a crucial role in helping this to happen, and 
I encourage you to continue your crucial dialogue with President 
Zuma. 
 
We have had discussions with Ambassador Charles Ray on restrictive 
measures. I well understand that movement on the part of the 
International Community will need to be in response to tangible 
progress on GPA implementation. We should, however, ensure that 
movement when it comes is seen to be acknowledged in a tangible way 
- striking a careful balance between retaining leverage and 
rewarding progress. This will involve difficult judgements but it 
will be important to sustain momentum when it comes. 
 
In light of the current negotiations of the three political parties 
I have now taken personal interest in the normalisation of relations 
between my government and your government and my office will be 
following up on this very critical issue in the coming year. 
 
We have, with your help, made real progress in 2009. Zimbabwe has 
been brought back from the brink. The economy has been stabilised. 
Essential health, education and other services have been restored. A 
long and difficult road clearly lies ahead but with the continued 
support of key partners like the US, and also the active engagement 
of SADC and South Africa, I have every hope of building on this 
start. 
 
May I wish you and your family a merry Christmas and a joyous New 
Year. Please accept, Mr. President, assurances of my esteem 
consideration. 
 
Looking forward to continue working with you, 
 
Morgan Tsvangirai 
 
END TEXT. 
 
3.  (U) The letter was received by hand delivery via U.S. Defense 
Attache LtCol. Patrick Anderson at the U.S. Embassy Harare on 
Tuesday, December 29, 2009.  Original will be forwarded to AF/S Desk 
Officer Brian Walch via diplomatic pouch, registration number 
7262800. 
 

Dictators fall hard!

I thank God for the leaders who bring stability and tranquility to nations! All leaders are God chosen.I believe we all know this since the days of Nebbucadnezaar, king Solomon, King David, The Pharaohs... an endless list so to say!
In modern days God continued with the creation of leaders. However, some of these leaders became so oppressive, ruthless and dangerous to their own people-evolving into THE DICTATORS. 


In any democratic society I don't believe without the evil spirits of vote rigging, intimidation and harassing of voters, a leader can survive more than two election periods through the ballot! The ultimate power comes from God. I'm so happy that those who abuse power and the virtue of trust that people put on leaders always end in disgrace!
Who would have known that Saddam Hussein would be plucked out of a bunker like a flea! Who would have thought of the mighty Mubarrak and his Tunisian counterpart would ever seek for mercy from the masses they suppressed. Who would have thought Hitler would die in secrecy, who would have thought Chiluba would be be dragged to court. Who would thought Ian Smith would not go to Heroes Acre, who would have thought the clever Rex Nhongo would one day forget the candle on by his bedside! Give me a break Gaddaffi!




Today I've got some reservation in going down with Bible verses but who has ears must hear and who has eyes should see that Colonel Gaddaffi is a gone camel rider! This article is directly going to Lybia as I celebrate with the Rebels! They called Cde Mugabe a rebel, they called Mr Mandela a rebel, they called Jomo kenyatta a rebel ~ therefore rebels are FREEDOM FIGHTERS... the terrorists. When my daughter Fadzai is grown up I will have taught her what a real Rebel is.




How could Gaddaffi be a life leader, who ordained him to do so? Is he a Pope, even the might Pharaohs are since long gone, gone of course with all the pride. Beware the Syrian dictator “ Ushe madzoro” the Shonas might abuse this saying but they at least know what this means.


Castro you are one of them, you may get away with it for now because hell also needs fresh meat like you,tell Raul to call for elections! The more the oppressors live, the harder they will knock down! To all the oppressors and dictators your days are numbered ~ keep killing opposition member so that their blood and souls will fast track your demise.
So Gaddaffi the whole lot of spilt blood in your denial for change will choke you till your eyes are red and out of their sockets! 


Goodbye Gaddi you will discover more oil in hell. Before you depart look back and advise would be the Gaddaffis of tomorrow to think twice about permanent power! You know them here in Africa and abroad! Take along with your female bodyguards Mr Immortal.
Change is an inevitable course it makes no use to deny it. Hence Leaders must know when to quit, when to change polices, when to love their subjects and subordinates and ultimately know how to concede defeat unlike that chap from West Africa who is under house arrest (ask Quattara)! If a leader is from God who is commissioned by the Pope should know when its wise to say enough! like Mr Mandela did! Hypocrites says in God they swear under oath that they will save the Nation by lip while their inner core would be saying I will kill them one by one so they can rule for ever!


Will Jesus help our leaders so they will all go to Heroes Acre! At least us from Mutare we don't do that! So the next generation leader for Zimbabwe will come from Mutare!


Farai kushata was born and raised in Mutare, Bocha. Works in an Engineering environment somewhere outside Zim! Raising 3 lovely kids. 

Tsvangirai to address Real Change People's Peace Rally at Sakubva


MDC-T President Tsvangirai is expected to address his MDC-T supporters at a Real Change People's Peace Rally at Sakubva Stadium in Mutare on Sunday.

Morgan Tsvangirai who will be accompanied by members of the National Standing Committee, National Executive Committee, National Council, Ministers and MPs, is expected to update the people on the outcome of the 31st SADC summit held in Luanda, Angola.

He will also update the people on the performance of the party and the inclusive government. Similar Real Change People's Peace rallies that have been attended by thousands of people have been held in Bulawayo, Gweru, Masvingo, Chegutu and Kwekwe.


Source: Byo24News

Zimbabwe’s murky politics - One of the country’s grand old gunmen dies in an unexplained fire


                              Solomon Mujuru and Joyce Mujuru
THERE is no evidence to suggest that the death on August 16th of Solomon Mujuru, one of the most powerful figures in President Robert Mugabe’s ruling Zanu-PF party and a former head of Zimbabwe’s armed forces, was anything but an accident. But the senior party official accompanying his grieving widow, Joice, a Zimbabwean vice-president, around the burnt-out remains of their farmhouse outside Harare, the capital, in which he died, had little doubt as to the real cause of his demise. “This,” he declared, “is murder most foul.” His compatriots—on both sides of the political divide—appear to agree, though nobody is sure who is responsible.
Mr Mujuru’s death is bound to intensify the vicious battle between rival Zanu-PF factions swirling around the succession of the party’s ailing 87-year-old leader. There are fears of further bloodshed, even of a possible coup. Although Mr Mujuru left government service in the 1990s to devote himself to his vast business and farming interests, he continued to wield enormous influence and was the leading light behind his wife’s bid to succeed Mr Mugabe.
Regarded in Zanu-PF circles as a moderate reformist, Mrs Mujuru had recently appeared to gain the edge over her main rival, the ambitious hardline defence minister, Emmerson Mnangagwa. As Mr Mugabe’s state security minister in the early 1980s, he oversaw the Matabeleland massacres, when as many as 20,000 people were killed. He now chairs the supposedly defunct but still powerful Joint Operations Command (JOC), composed of all security chiefs. Many believe that this shadowy body, from which Morgan Tsvangirai, the prime minister and leader of the Movement for Democratic Change, is excluded, really runs the country.
                                   Emmerson Mnangagwa
So Mr Mnangagwa could be seen as the likeliest beneficiary of Mr Mujuru’s death. But a further candidate to succeed Mr Mugabe has recently emerged, who might also stand to gain—General Constantine Chiwenga, head of the country’s armed forces and a member of Zanu-PF’s powerful politburo. He is said to have gathered around him a clutch of influential hardliners, including Jonathan Moyo, Mr Mugabe’s self-appointed spin-doctor, Augustin Chihuri, chief of police, Johannes Tomana, the attorney-general, and Brigadier-General Douglas Nyikayaramba, who recently caused a stir by describing Mr Tsvangirai as a “national security threat”.
                                   General Constantine Chiwenga
Where Mr Mugabe himself stands in all this is unclear. He has never named an heir-apparent. Tenderly holding Mrs Mujuru’s hand at One Commando army barracks in Harare, whither her husband’s charred remains had been taken, he paid a glowing tribute to the “great deeds of a departed hero, which earned him profound respect and a special place in the history of Zimbabwe”. But his relations with Mr Mujuru had recently cooled after the former guerrilla leader suggested he was too old to win any more elections and should step down.
Zanu-PF leader, Robert Mugabe arrives in Highfields to address a pre-election rally in 1979. Next to him are much younger, now-retired Army General Solomon Mujuru (centre) and current Minister of Defence Emmerson Mnangagwa (right)

Death of Army General Solomon Mujuru Ends Struggle Over Mugabe's Successor

Solomon Mujuru, husband of Zimbabwean Deputy President Joyce Mujuru and a major power player within the ruling Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front (ZANU-PF), died Aug. 16, reportedly in a house fire. The Mujurus’ rivals within the ZANU-PF, a faction led by Defense Minister Emmerson Mnangagwa, now have clear control over who will succeed President Robert Mugabe.

Analysis

Solomon Mujuru, husband of Zimbabwean Deputy President Joyce Mujuru, apparently died in a house fire Aug. 16. Solomon Mujuru was a former Zimbabwean National Army commander and a major force within the Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front (ZANU-PF). His death clears the way for the Mujurus’ top rival, Defense Minister Emmerson Mnangagwa, to control the selection of President Robert Mugabe’s successor.

Solomon Mujuru was at his farm in Beatrice some 38 miles south of Harare when he died. Reportedly his house caught fire and he was unable to escape before the roof collapsed on him. However, his death likely was not an accident, and fire is an effective way of destroying evidence of foul play. Solomon Mujuru, with his experience in the power politics of ZANU-PF, would be familiar with the Zimbabwean ruling party’s ability to kill, maim or “disappear” rival politicians. Being the deputy president’s spouse, he likely would have been surrounded by a private militia along with state agents assigned to him for security. He would have this protection not because of concerns about the opposition Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) but because of the tensions and hostilities within ZANU-PF.

ZANU-PF is preparing for national elections. Zimbabwe’s last elections were held in 2008, and the ruling party would have lost to the MDC if not for a campaign of violence and intimidation to overturn popular support for the MDC. The date for the upcoming elections has not been set yet because of struggles within ZANU-PF and tensions with the MDC over the implications of holding an election.

Concluding an election resets the government’s term for another five years, so ZANU-PF wants to hold elections as soon as possible. There are concerns about Mugabe’s health, and if he were to die in office the ruling party would be entitled by the constitution to retain control of the presidency through the end of his term. Elections are not required until 2013, but if Mugabe were to die before then, ZANU-PF would only retain the presidency until then. If elections are held this year, however, a new term would start and would last until 2016, giving ZANU-PF more time in power should Mugabe die in office.
A Zimbabwean policeman walks past the burned home of retired army general Solomon Mujuru in Beatrice Farm on Tuesday



The MDC is still a vocal opposition party, but ZANU-PF has learned from its mistakes in 2008 and has already deployed government officials and agents to the Zimbabwean countryside to ensure that the grassroots population is sufficiently intimidated into voting for ZANU-PF whenever elections are held. The MDC will find it very difficult to replicate the gains it made in the 2008 elections.



Zimbabwe Defence Minister Emmerson Mnangagwa

The real struggle over presidential succession was between two factions within ZANU-PF: the Mujuru family, with Joyce Mujuru at the head and Solomon Mujuru as the power behind her, and Mnangagwa and his supporters in the Joint Operations Command, the security authority comprising the heads of Zimbabwe’s security agencies and armed forces branches. Both factions had been engaging in activities, such as selling diamonds from areas under their control, to get the advantage in the succession struggle, but until Solomon Mujuru’s death neither faction had made definitive gains. With Solomon Mujuru now dead, the support Joyce Mujuru had received (though her husband’s machinations) is likely to drift steadily to the Mnangagwa-led faction. There is no sympathy vote within ZANU-PF that Joyce Mujuru could hope to gain.

Though it is not certain that Mnangagwa himself will become Zimbabwe’s next president (he faces other political obstacles, such as being under U.S. and EU sanctions), his faction of ZANU-PF has benefited from Solomon Mujuru’s death. Whether or not Mnangagwa’s faction had a direct hand in it, Solomon Mujuru’s death means the defense minister’s only other rival power bloc within ZANU-PF has been eliminated. This faction can now stand behind Mugabe’s re-election, whether that happens in 2011 or later, knowing with confidence that they now control the presidential succession.


Suspected Zanu (PF) Hooligans Ransack MDC Offices


Mutare, August 11, 2011- Suspected Zanu (PF) supporters on Tuesday night defaced the Morgan Tsvangirai led Movement for Democratic Change (MDC-T) Chimanimani district offices, ahead of the Chimanimani Arts festival which starts in the resort town on Friday.
The suspected Zanu (PF) supporters descended on the building at night and broke window panes before scrapping off the party logo and name from the walls.

The building which is owned by the Kidd family is located about 500 metres from the venue of the festival.

Birgit Kidd , a member of the family who is also the MDC-T ‘s Manicaland Provincial Secretary for Policy and Research told Radio VOP in an interview that she suspected the defacing of the building  was meant to prevent festival revellers from admiring and viewing the party name ,logo and slogans which were inscribed on the building.

“It appears the culprits were many because they used sharp objects to scrap the walls.  In some instances they used white pant to rub the words. Some even climbed the roof to rub the inscriptions. This is real desperation,” said Birgit.

Birgit said the family has already made a formal police report about the incident.

“We have made a formal police report this morning. We have information that a senior Zanu (PF) official was involved in this barbaric operation. The police have promised to investigate the issue,” said Birgit.  

Zanu (PF) has on numerous occasions threatened to take over the building and the family’s Saw mill, accusing the family of supporting the MDC. The Kidd family which is close to Roy Bennett, arrived in the area more than 40 years ago and has been assisting the local people.